A time-based ICT strategy that trades Fair Value Gaps during specific high-probability windows. Simpler than the full Mentorship Model, Silver Bullet offers mechanical entries with defined time rules.
The Concept
Silver Bullet targets specific time windows where institutional order flow creates tradeable FVGs:
- Wait for the Silver Bullet window to open
- Identify FVG formation during the window
- Enter on FVG retest
- Target previous high/low or liquidity
Silver Bullet Windows
Three primary windows (all times EST):
| Window | Time | Characteristics |
|---|
| London SB | 03:00-04:00 | European session setup |
| NY AM SB | 10:00-11:00 | Post-open continuation |
| NY PM SB | 14:00-15:00 | Afternoon reversal |
Pattern Rules
During the Window
- FVG Must Form: Clear fair value gap on your timeframe
- Displacement: FVG created by strong, impulsive move
- Direction Bias: Align with higher timeframe or session direction
Entry
- Wait for price to retrace to FVG
- Enter at 50% (equilibrium) or edge of FVG
- Stop beyond the FVG
- Target: Previous swing high/low or liquidity
Settings
Time Windows
| Setting | Default | Description |
|---|
| Enable London SB | true | Trade 03:00-04:00 window |
| Enable NY AM SB | true | Trade 10:00-11:00 window |
| Enable NY PM SB | true | Trade 14:00-15:00 window |
| Timezone | EST | Exchange timezone |
FVG Settings
| Setting | Default | Description |
|---|
| Minimum FVG Size | 3 ticks | Minimum gap to qualify |
| FVG Timeout | 15 bars | Max bars to wait for retest |
| Entry Level | 50% | Equilibrium or Edge |
Trade Management
| Setting | Default | Description |
|---|
| Stop Placement | Beyond FVG | Stop past the gap |
| Stop Buffer | 2 ticks | Additional stop buffer |
| Target Mode | Previous Swing | Swing or Fixed R:R |
| Fixed R:R | 2.0 | If using fixed target |
| Partial Take Profit | 50% at 1:1 | Partial profit taking |
Filters
| Setting | Default | Description |
|---|
| Direction Filter | HTF Bias | Follow higher timeframe |
| Max Trades Per Window | 1 | Limit trades per window |
| Min Displacement | 5 ticks | Minimum move creating FVG |
Visual Display
During Silver Bullet windows:
- Window Highlight: Background shading during active windows
- Valid FVGs: Shaded rectangles with entry level
- Entry Line: Dashed line at entry price
- Trade Markers: Entry, stop, target on chart
Trading Rules
Bullish Silver Bullet
- Window Active: Within a Silver Bullet time window
- Bullish FVG Forms: Created by impulsive up move
- Price Retraces: Returns to FVG zone
- Entry: Long at FVG 50% or edge
- Stop: Below FVG low
- Target: Previous swing high or liquidity
Bearish Silver Bullet
- Window Active: Within a Silver Bullet time window
- Bearish FVG Forms: Created by impulsive down move
- Price Retraces: Returns to FVG zone
- Entry: Short at FVG 50% or edge
- Stop: Above FVG high
- Target: Previous swing low or liquidity
No Trade Conditions
Skip the setup if:
- FVG forms outside the window
- FVG is too small (< minimum size)
- No displacement (weak move)
- Already took max trades for this window
Example Trade
NY AM Silver Bullet - Bullish:
- Time: 10:15 EST (within 10:00-11:00 window)
- FVG Forms: ES rallies sharply, bullish FVG at 4500-4503
- Retest: Price pulls back to 4501.50 at 10:25
- Entry: Long at 4501.50 (FVG equilibrium)
- Stop: 4499 (below FVG)
- Target: 4512 (previous swing high)
Timeframe Recommendations
| Instrument | Execution TF | Bias TF |
|---|
| ES/NQ | 5-min | 15-min or 1-hour |
| CL/GC | 5-min | 15-min |
| Forex | 15-min | 1-hour or 4-hour |
Tips for Success
Respect the Windows
- Only trade during designated times
- Don't chase if window closes
- One setup per window is enough
Quality FVGs Only
- Look for displacement (strong move)
- Avoid tiny, insignificant gaps
- FVG should be "obvious"
Use Session Bias
- London: Trade with Asian session momentum
- NY AM: Trade with pre-market direction
- NY PM: Look for afternoon reversals
Manage Expectations
- Not every window produces a setup
- Some days have no valid Silver Bullets
- 2-3 trades per week is realistic
Comparison with Mentorship Model
| Aspect | Silver Bullet | Mentorship Model |
|---|
| Complexity | Simple | Advanced |
| Setup Components | Time + FVG | Sweep + MSS + FVG |
| Entries Per Week | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Win Rate | ~55-60% | ~50-55% |
| R:R Potential | 2:1 - 3:1 | 3:1 - 5:1 |
See Also